This weekend we’ve got a 13-fight card then extended 3-week break. I’m excited to have UFC back and I am prepared to win some money on Saturday. The card will occur in Lincoln, Nebraska and there are no fighters creating their UFC debut so it is always nice once you are already familiar with all the fighters on the card. Because this is a Fight Night card, the DraftKings contests are not the best, but there’s still a lot of cash to be won. I’ll be chasing the large $15k top prize in the $8 GPP in addition to the $5 & $10 Qualifiers. Most of my investment will be in money games, mainly H2Hs, but I’ll be taking numerous shots at these huge prizes. Here are a few plays I enjoy this week in Addition to my fade of the week:
Money Game play of this week — Stack (James Vick $8,600 AND Justin Gaethje $7,600)
This is how I’ll be starting my money lineup. I can put in Vick and Gaethje then figure out the rest from there. Any fight Gaethje is in is filled with action and his three UFC fights have been Fight Of The Year type fights. Those types of fights are fantastic for DraftKings. Notably cash games since we can lock in a win and get all the points in the best fight on the card. Usually 4 wins will find the job done in money games and we will get over 100 points with this fight. So, with that win locked in, we simply have to find 3 others we feel great about.
GPP drama of the week — Bryan Barberena ($9,500)
It’s tough to need to pay $9.5k to get a man like Barberena if you can just pay an additional $200 to get a -1000 preferred in Anders. But, I believe that is what most people will do and that is what makes Barberena a fantastic GPP play. I think we will get him in a somewhat lower ownership due to his large salary, and he has a very good shot at obtaining a 1st round win. If he can find a 1st round KO afterward he will have 100 points so he will pay off that high salary. If you believe Ellenberger is totally faded, I think you should get some Barberena on your lineups. His ITD line is -170 and Ellenberger looks like he is a shell of his older self. I think Barberena does pick up an end in this struggle so I will throw him in some GPPs and expect he’s beneath owned.
Underdog drama of the week — Andre Fili ($7,500)
This is just the easy worth play of this week. Currently, Fili is your betting popular at -115 over Michael Johnson at +105. But, MJ is $8.7k on DraftKings and Fili is only $7.5k. I love taking that worth when it is available so I presume he’s in play in all formats. He’ll be popular in tournaments with the value we are becoming on him, but I am ready to consume that chalk and I don’t want to get burned by entirely fading that value. I really do think this is the toughest fight on the card to phone, but when Fili keeps using his wrestling I presume he will have a fantastic chance at winning this battle. If the fight stays standing for 15-minutes, I’d favor MJ but not by a good deal. At $7.5k we don’t need a massive score from Fili so any win will probably do just fine. I am not going to pass on this respect and I think he’s the easy underdog of the week on DK.
Fade of this week — Drew Dober ($8,900)
This could just be my personal prejudice but I will not possess Drew Dober in some of my main ~20 GPP lineups. Nor will I have him in my cash lineup. Dober has just went for takedowns in 1 of his UFC fights so he’s mainly just seeking to attack. I think this is going to be a remarkable battle as well and I think that it will be nearer than the odds indicate. At $8.9k I believe we will need a finish from him to end up on the winning GPP lineup and I don’t see that happening. If you do think Dober can find a KO, then you ought to be enjoying him. I’ll just be paying up someplace because I am not sure he could find that complete and that I wouldn’t be shocked if he lost the struggle. I will say I never look to use Dober at DraftKings, so I could get burnt again here but I will stick with my Dober fade and he will be my fade of the week for UFC Lincoln.
If you’d like my full-card DraftKings breakdown with investigation on each struggle, my private approaches & suggestions, and my pick outlook for every single fight then it is possible to discover that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:

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