When lightweight winner Rafael dos Anjos pulled out of his second title defense against Connor McGregor 12 days ahead of the show, the UFC had choices galore.
You see, in the same way the featherweight kingpin will tell you, any card headlined by the Dubliner is going to be a money-making bonanza. The marketing first offered the struggle to Jose Aldo and Frankie Edgar, but neither answered the telephone.
Edgar was coping with a groin injury that had prevented him from training for the many previous weeks, while Aldo’s coach said he was not in good enough shape conditioning-wise to take the fight on this short notice.
Former 155-pound champ Anthony Pettis was just one fighter volunteering his services, linking the likes of Urijah Faber and Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone. Even B.J. Penn needed a shot McGregor.
Nate Diaz was more than prepared when contacted from the UFC. Dana White allowed the rumors to hang in the air for several hours before deciding that the interest from fans was highest for a Diaz-McGregor showdown.
McGregor had told the UFC he’d fight anyone on the roster at any given weight. When Diaz’s camp suggested getting down to 155 on brief notice was too much, the UFC countered using a catchweight supply of 160 pounds. Diaz countered with 165.
When the UFC called’The Notorious,”’ he said let’s just do it at 170. Therefore, tonight’s main event for UFC 196 in the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas is a five-rounder contested at welterweight. McGregor, the 145-pound champ, is moving up two weight classes.
Ad Most books opened McGregor (19-2 MMA, 7-0 UFC) at approximately -300, but the chances are becoming more expensive with each passing day. As of Thursday afternoon, most places had McGregor favored from the -450 to -500 range. Diaz was around +380 on the comeback (risk $100 to win $380).
Now that we’ve arrived at fight day, most places have McGregor in -500 or greater. The best payout for Diaz overseas is at 5Dimes, which includes him at +425.
The total for’over/under’ wagers is 2.5 rounds (-200 to the’under,’ +165′over’). For all those gamblers wanting to shave some of the’chalk’ yet back McGregor, the prop for him to triumph within the distance does not offer you much help (-278 in 5Dimes).
If you would like to take McGregor’s information he’ll dust Diaz from the opening round, that brace provides a +170 yield. If you believe the pride of Ireland will make rapid work of Diaz, much like his 13-second demolition of Aldo, there’s a prop at 5Dimes the fight won’t go 1:01 that supplies a lucrative +550 return.
For McGregor to win by TKO/KO (in any round), the cost is -275 (danger $275 to win $100). We ought to note that Diaz has never been completed at the first round in 28 professional spells.
In reality, Diaz (18-10 MMA, 13-8 UFC) has just been finished twice. He had been filed by Hermes Franca in WEC 24 at the second round, and the 209 product endured his only career TKO loss to Josh’The Punk’ Thomson in the second round of their April 2013 showdown. (Diaz’s corner threw in the towel)

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