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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with the bookies after defeating Roy Nelson, but in age 38 his skills are unlikely to be advancing. Mitrione gets the superior technique, power and durability standing which should see him with a reasonable advantage. Kharitonov will be seeking to get the fight down but it’s going to be hard given Mitrione’s superior athleticism. Expect a tentative start from both guys before Mitrione starts amassing strikes to get a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione in 1.95 (-105) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming into this struggle after a significant injury layoff. In fact he has had just one victory since Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 times himself. With so many question marks on his condition the fight seems to be lined too wide. Ngannou obviously has huge stopping power and will be very dangerous on the feet early. If Cain has lost a step or comes from appearing slow he is in trouble. Historically his style attracts a lot of pressure to opponents but he’s receptive to taking shots himself, particularly when gassed. Both guys have avenues to victory here, Ngannou is able to keep the fight standing and find an early KO. Cain will want to avert the early storm and seem to wear the bigger man out using takedowns and cage pressure. We like the underdog in what looks to be a 50/50 battle going in. On the other hand, the winner of the fight is likely to look dominant.
Bet = Ngannou at 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s inventory is at an all time low after his latest KO but his run towards the top was remarkable. Inside this matchup he will function as superior technical fighter with both the duration and speed advantage. Felder has a propensity to mirror his competitor but he will have to turn this one into a brawl to find success. It’s possible he joins with a kill shot, but the rest of the paths to victory have been in Vick’s favour. Felder takes a close range fight to utilise his best weapons but Vick has revealed he can stick into a gameplan and keep it in range. We like the lineup on Vick to cruise to victory with a clinical choice.
Bet = Vick in 1.91 (-110) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 2.73 Units.
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